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The first international Breakfast from Croatian farms was held in Hungary

first_imgThe Ministry of Agriculture, the Ministry of Tourism and the Croatian Chamber of Commerce presented the tourist and production offer of Croatia with the aim of promoting Croatian products and Croatia as a tourist destination with a three-day event Croatian Market in Hungary. The Croatian market in Budapest will be held until May 25, 2017 at the most beautiful market in Europe “Nagy Vásásrcsarnok”. 21 Croatian manufacturers present their offers and products.Today, the second day of the event was held Breakfast from Croatian farms where they ate breakfast products with quality labels: meat, milk and eggs from Croatian farms, honey from Lijepa naša, and flour and bread from Croatian fields. “Today, we are all turning to new trends, but we have proven to appreciate the originality and autochthony, that is, what has been created for centuries. For this reason, it is important to nurture the tradition and richness of the domestic offer. This year, for the first time, we came to the most famous market in Europe with a special goal, which is to present a complete tourist story and experience – Croatian destinations, Croatian flavors and Croatian indigenous products. I believe that in this way we can better convey to our guests all the diversity and interesting things that the whole of Croatia has to offer. This is also a confirmation that tourism, agriculture and the economy, when it comes to the promotion of Croatia, should perform together. “, said Minister Cappelli at the opening of the event, adding that he believes that this joint presentation in our emitting markets will continue in the future.By the way, a multi-month information campaign of the Ministry of Agriculture and the Croatian Agricultural Agency in Croatian counties, which promoted domestic products and encouraged their consumption, ended with a big Breakfast from Croatian farms held in Zagreb on May 13. About 500 agricultural producers from all over Croatia took part in the campaign.”Hungarians are always welcome guests of our tourist destinations and I am glad that Breakfast from Croatian farms had its foreign premiere in Budapest. There has been talk for decades about the need to connect domestic producers and catering and hotel facilities and I am pleased that we have moved things in the right direction. We have not only been involved in promotional activities, but we have incorporated into the regulations provisions that will provide our producers with fair working conditions and equal rights with their European counterparts. Cooperation with the tourism sector is extremely important to us because it gives the best results for both agricultural production and the tourist offer. Not enough time has passed yet to assess the effectiveness of the implemented measures, but the first statistical indicators show that we are reducing imports and increasing exports of agricultural and food products.” said Agriculture Minister Tomislav Tolusic.The Hungarian market is one of the most important emitting markets for Croatian tourism, and tourists from Hungary are the tenth most numerous guests in our country. Last year, there were 513 thousand arrivals from Hungary (+12 percent) and 2,75 million overnight stays (+11 percent), which represents a share of about 3 percent in the total realized overnight stays. Guests from Hungary spent the most nights in the Primorje-Gorski Kotar County, followed by Istria, the Split-Dalmatia County and the Zadar County. Among the most visited destinations last year were Crikvenica, Vir, Rovinj, Medulin and Lopar, and guests from Hungary spent the most nights in household facilities (48 percent) and hotels (23 percent).last_img read more

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Alex Saucedo reflects on coming back from adversity in bloody war vs. Lenny Zappavigna

first_img“Abel Sanchez would tell me to not be lazy with your jab because this guy is very good with his right hand and that’s what he’s going to try and do,” Saucedo told Sporting News. “And that’s exactly what happened in the fourth round. I came out in the first three rounds and I was putting my hands on him. And that fourth round, I got lazy. I threw a lazy jab and got caught with an overhand right hand and it stunned me.” MORE: Join DAZN and watch the Jarrell Miller vs. Bogdan Dinu fightAnd it nearly cost him the fight.”I was hurt,” Saucedo said in reflection. “I was getting hit, but I was surviving.”Saucedo weathered the storm to regain control.”I came back in the fifth round very strong,” he said, “and then was able to stop him in the seventh.” With blood gushing down their faces, chests and trunks, Saucedo and Zappavigna duked it out during the fifth and sixth rounds before Zappavigna’s corner threw in the towel at the 2:31 mark of the seventh due to the pugilist’s left eye nearly being shut and the gruesome cut over his right eye. Surviving the hardest battle of his career led Saucedo to garner his first major world title shot; he will challenge WBO junior welterweight champion Maurice Hooker (24-0-3, 16 KOs) on Friday night in Saucedo’s hometown, Oklahoma City. With blood pouring down his face and absorbing punishment that would have sent 99 percent of fighters down to the canvas in that fourth round, Saucedo somehow fought back. After winning, he watched the fight, and the fourth round in particular, many times. Every time he has watched it, he comes away with the same conclusion — that there’s was no way the referee would stop it.”I was in no fear and I knew I could survive that,” Saucedo said. “I remember looking [at] the referee and telling him with my eyes that I’m OK and it was just a punch. I believe the referee seen that I was OK. In my mind, I knew Lenny was leaving it out there. I remember his face after the fight. He had seven different cuts from both of his eyes. That was his survival round. He tried to survive that round. He threw everything he had. I just survived it, too, and I came back stronger in the next round and I was able to stop him.” That fight showed the world Saucedo (28-0, 18 KOs) has the heart of a champion, is willing to put it all on the line and go through the depths of despair to reach the ultimate goal of becoming a world champion. “Coming back from adversity is something that you’re born with because I’ve always had that,” Saucedo said. “Being a boxer, I know that you risk your life going in the ring. You risk a lot of things going in there. Anything can happen. You can lose an eye, a broken jaw. There’s so many things that can happen in the ring. As a fighter, you have to know what you’re going into. I think that’s one of the things about me that I know — I give my all every time I walk into the ring.” Everything was going Alex Saucedo’s way heading into the fourth round of his June tilt against Lenny Zappavigna. He had opened up a deep cut over Zappavigna’s right eye in the second round and sent his opponent down to the canvas with a thudding counterpunch in the third round. Somehow, not only did Zappavigna manage to survive the round, he slugged it out with Saucedo for the remainder of the frame.That paved the way for a firefight to break out during the fourth round. Saucedo’s head trainer, Abel Sanchez, warned his pupil to stay crisp with the jab because if he didn’t, then Zappavigna would make him pay for it.  MORE: Join DAZN and watch the Jarrell Miller vs. Bogdan Dinu fightHooker said in a press release to formally announce the fight that he’s going to punch Saucedo right “in the mouth, Mexican style.” If Saucedo has to go through hell one more time, he’s more than ready to knuckle up and bring home the WBO belt. “I’m going to be ready for Nov. 16 for anything he brings to the ring,” Saucedo said. “If he wants to box, I will box. If he wants to fight, then I will be 100 percent ready to do the same. I’m going to give the fans a great show because I’m undefeated in 28 fights, and if you look at all of those 28 fights, I’ve never been in a boring fight. I’m going to give everyone their money’s worth.”last_img read more

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College football Week 2 bowl projections: LSU, Washington trending up

first_imgMORE: Week 2 Playoff picture Week 2 college football bowl projectionsDATEBOWLTEAMSDec. 20Makers Wanted Bahamas BowlNorthern Illinois vs. North TexasDec. 20DXL Frisco BowlToledo vs. TempleDec. 21Gildan New Mexico BowlFIU vs. Fresno StateDec. 21AutoNation Cure BowlArkansas State vs. South FloridaDec. 21Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton BowlOld Dominion vs. HoustonDec. 21Raycom Media Camellia BowlWestern Michigan vs. TroyDec. 21Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas BowlBoise State vs. USCDec. 21R&L Carriers New Orleans BowlMarshall vs. Appalachian StateDec. 23Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla BowlUAB vs. MemphisDec. 24SoFi Hawa’ii BowlBYU vs. HawaiiDec. 26Walk-On’s Independence BowlArkansas vs. Wake ForestDec. 26Quick Lane BowlMaryland vs. DukeDec. 27Military Bowl Presented by Northrup GrummanArmy* vs. Wyoming*Dec. 27New Era Pinstripe BowlNebraska vs. Florida StateDec. 27Academy Sports and Outdoors Texas BowlTCU vs Mississippi StateDec. 27SDCU Holiday BowlOregon vs. IowaDec. 27Cheez-It BowlArizona State vs. Kansas StateDec. 28Camping World BowlOklahoma State vs. PittsburghDec. 30SERVPRO First Responders BowlBaylor vs. MinnesotaDec. 30Franklin American Mortgage Music City BowlVanderbilt vs. VirginiaDec. 30Redbox BowlStanford vs. NorthwesternDec. 31Belk BowlTennessee vs. North CarolinaDec. 31Hyundai Sun BowlWashington State vs. MiamiDec. 31AutoZone Liberty BowlIowa State vs. KentuckyDec. 31Valero Alamo BowlUtah vs. West VirginiaDec. 31NOVA Home Loans Arizona BowlLouisiana vs. NevadaJan. 1Outback BowlAuburn vs. Penn StateJan. 1Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus BowlFlorida vs. WisconsinJan. 2Jared Birmingham BowlCincinnati vs. N.C. State*Jan. 2TaxSlayer BowlTexas A&M vs. Michigan StateJan. 3Famous Idaho Potato BowlEastern Michigan vs. Utah StateJan. 4Lockheed Martin Armed Forces BowlCal* vs. Boston College*Jan. 6Mobile Alabama BowlOhio vs. Georgia State*No conference tie-in to bowlMORE: Week 1 overreactionsCollege Football Playoff/New Year’s Day Six projectionsDec. 28Goodyear Cotton BowlNotre Dame vs. UCFDec. 28Capital One Orange BowlSyracuse vs. LSUJan. 1Rose BowlMichigan vs. WashingtonJan. 1Allstate Sugar BowlGeorgia vs. OklahomaDec. 28PlayStation Fiesta Bowl (semifinal)Clemson vs. TexasDec. 28Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl (semifinal)Alabama vs. Ohio StateCollege Football Playoff championship projectionJan. 13College Football Playoff championshipClemson vs. Alabama The big question remains whether anybody other than Clemson or Alabama make their way to the Big Easy for the championship game. Sporting News still has Ohio State and Texas as its other playoff teams, and the Longhorns can solidify that position with a victory against LSU this week. The Tigers moved into our New Year’s Day Six along with Washington. Florida and Oregon dropped out. Sporting News has projections for all 40 bowl games here, and they will be updated each week during the college football season.  Week 2 bowl projections are here, and LSU and Washington are among the teams trending upward after one week. The 2019 college postseason schedule features 40 bowl games between FBS teams, with the finale at the College Football Playoff championship game on Jan. 13 at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. This year’s semifinal games will be on Dec. 28 at the Peach Bowl and Fiesta Bowl.  last_img read more

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U. basketball fans voice their opinions

first_imgA story last week about dwindling attendance at University of Utah basketball games elicited a bunch of responses from Deseret Morning News readers.Ticket prices seem to be one factor that has been glossed over by Ute administrators, while parking problems are another. Here’s how a few readers view the declining attendance situation, along with my responses: “I have been attending games as a season-ticket holder for a number of years and have been concerned about the decline in attendance. The reasons listed in your article are all contributing factors, but the one that I believe is the primary factor is the price of tickets and the mandatory Crimson Club donations to get seats below the concourse. Prices have steadily increased over the years, and there was another increase in the required Crimson Club donations this past year. In my neighborhood alone, I know of at least 20 former season-tickets holders who have quit purchasing season tickets because of the price increases. The university seems to ignore the thousands of dollars these people have paid over the years to support the athletic programs. While asking for loyalty and support, the U. does not reciprocate with any loyalty to those who have consistently supported the U. over the years. The high prices also account for many younger persons with young families not attending. With the high prices and nearly all games being shown on TV, the decision not to attend is an easy one to make.” — H.V. Price could be the main factor in decreased attendance. The prime seats in the lower half of the arena cost as much as $50 per ticket per game when you include the mandatory Crimson Club donation. Some fans don’t want to spend that much money on sports. “The parking has been a fiasco this year. Two years ago, there was free busing to the Huntsman from the ARUP parking lot. Last year there was free passage on TRAX from the football stadium. This year early on, there was free parking east of the Huntsman Center, but prior to the conference season and without ever saying anything to season-ticket holders, they began charging $5 parking on what was previously free. Ute officials have not addressed the loss of remote parking transport by bus, did not give any indication to ticket holders that TRAX was not free this year, and have not addressed the sudden unannounced charge for what was listed in the parking literature sent with season tickets as free parking. Many season-ticket holders feel they have been suckered by this bait-and-switch approach.” — G.L. True fans will come out despite any parking obstacles. But it’s the little things that keep the marginal fans from coming, and those are the fans the U. is trying to get. “Just a suggestion to the Ute marketing department: Either give tickets away, especially to the games where the opposing team is not that good, or allow fans to purchase them at a discounted price. BYU has been doing this for years, especially this year. I have had the chance to go to four different BYU games this year either free or for a minimal cost. This is seriously a good way to get fans into the seats. Chances are, they will be willing to pay full price for future games, especially considering how well the Utes are doing.” — D.M. Oh, so THAT’S how a 9-16 basketball team is outdrawing the 22-3 Utes this year. Actually the U. does have reduced prices for some higher-up tickets, but I don’t think free tickets will be an option. “I don’t know why you media folks are so fixated on the attendance. There are colleges and universities all over the country that would love to have 9,000 people in the stands: Colorado State, Air Force, San Diego State, to name a few. I go to every game I can, although I am not a season-ticket holder, and the atmosphere is always great, full seats or not. I don’t need a sold-out arena to enjoy the game.” — L.P. I agree the atmosphere at a game is much better than watching on TV. But it’s worth reporting that U. attendance has dropped by more than 4,000 in six years and is the lowest average in 29 years despite an exciting, ranked team with one of the better records in school history. “I liked the article, but maybe you and the rest of the Utes’ staff could just come right out and say that the Utes have fair-weather fans. Just imagine what the season-ticket sales are going to be when the Aussie is gone.” — P.M. If the Ute followers were “fair-weather” fans, they’d be filling the Huntsman Center this year. The fact is, there are a lot fewer fans this year than for a couple of recent mediocre seasons.I’ll bet attendance improves next year as the U. upgrades its schedule, gets rid of late Monday games and addresses some other problems. Unfortunately, a lot of Ute fans are missing out this season on seeing one of the best players ever to don a Ute jersey. UTE NOTES:Andrew Bogut is featured in a four-page spread called “Aussie Rules” in the Sports Illustrated issue that hit the stands Thursday . . . Saturday’s game at Air Force will be televised on KJZZ-TV at 1 p.m . . . Monday’s game at New Mexico will be at 7 p.m., also on KJZZ . . . There are still plenty of tickets available for the Utah-BYU home game on Feb. 26 . . . Of the eight first-round sites for NCAA tournament games, the Utes have been to four over the past 15 years — Nashville (2003), Cleveland (2000), Boise (1995, 1998) and Tucson (1991, 1997). The other four first-round sites are Indianapolis, Charlotte, Oklahoma City and Worcester, Mass . . . The West Regional this year will be held at The Pit in New Mexico . . . Utah’s 17-game winning streak is the second-longest in the nation behind Illinois. Speaking of second-longest, Air Force has the second-longest home winning streak in the nation at 24. Utes on the air No. 14 Utah (22-3, 10-0) at Air Force (15-9, 6-3)Saturday, 1 p.m.TV: KJZZ, Ch. 14Radio: KALL 700AM E-mail: [email protected]last_img read more

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How David de Gea made his goalkeeping coach look bad with his Nou Camp…

first_imgAdvertisement 0tjmNBA Finals | Brooklyn VsmWingsuit rodeo📽Sindre E6ov( IG: @_aubreyfisher @imraino ) lyrdWould you ever consider trying this?😱10ijms1Can your students do this? 🌚9blRoller skating! Powered by Firework David De Gea had a night to forget as Manchester United lost 3-0 to Barcelona to bow out of the Champions League. United’s goalkeeping coach was upbeat of De Gea’s preparation for the tie, but it was not to be for the Spaniard.Advertisement De Gea made a huge error when he let Lionel Messi’s tame shot slip under him. That goal effectively ended the tie, and United’s comeback hopes. Before the game, United goalkeeping coach Emilio Alvarez was talking to a radio station.Advertisement “We do some things differently. I wouldn’t lie if I said we do a super special preparation,” he said. “I already worked in La Liga for many seasons with David as well and before with other keepers. I can’t deny that there is a particularity regarding Leo in which in the end, you try to offer tools and data to the keeper so that it can help him.”“But we all know that no matter how much you study Leo, or if you have the tools and those are good, talent is always above anything else. I do work that is more specific with De Gea which I obviously can’t reveal, but we do some things different and we include other things than with respect to another game as we are facing Leo.”Advertisement De Gea has not signed a new contract at United yet, as the likes of PSG are hovering about for his services. Yesterday’s performance was definitely not a good look for potential suitors. Advertisementlast_img read more

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Trail Allstars edged out of playoff round, semi finals go Friday

first_imgIt will be Beacon Hills playing White Rock and Dunbar battling Hastings as the B.C. Little League Baseball Championships enter the playoff stage Friday at Andy Bilesky Park in Trail.The final playoff spot was detemined Wednesday when Beacon Hills of Victoria pounded Trail pitching for 10 first inning runs en route to a 13-11 decision over the Allstars.The win moved Beacon Hills into the fourth, and final, playoff spot.Trail Allstars, with one win in five games, finished the tournament in fifth spot. After yeilding the 10-spot in the opening frame, the Allstars pushed across seven runs in the next two innings to cut the margin to 10-7.However, Trail could not get over the hump as Beacon Hills managed to hold off the charge from the home side.White Rock and Hastings finished in a tie for top spot, each with 4-1 records.However, White Rock was awarded first place after defeating the Vancouver squad 7-6 during the round robin draw.Semi Final Friday begins at noon with White Rock hosting Beacons Hills.The two Vancouver teams meet in the second semi final at 3 p.m.The two winners advance to the championship game at noon Saturday.The B.C. Champ represents the province at the Canadian Championships next month in Edmonton.last_img read more

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Connacht Name Team To Face The Cheetahs

first_imgHead Coach Andy Friend has made four changes to the Connacht starting team from the side that recorded a bonus point win over Dragons two weeks ago.  With Tiernan O’Halloran and Paddy McAllister out of action until December, Connacht have had to reshuffle slightly but Darragh Leader has returned from a leg injury to take his place on the bench.  Stephen Fitzgerald comes straight into the side at fullback for the injured O’Halloran. He is part of a new look back three that sees Niyi Adeolokun and John Porch on the wings. Fitzgerald’s brother Conor is retained at out half following his impressive start to the season, and he forms a half back partnership with Kieran Marmion.  The midfield remains unchanged with Peter Robb and Kyle Godwin continuing their partnership.  Loosehead Denis Buckley comes back into the side for his first start of the season, alongside hooker Tom McCartney and Finlay Bealham at tighthead.  The second row sees Gavin Thornbury and Quinn Roux together for the fourth straight game, while the backrow also has a familiar look to it with Captain Jarrad Butler at openside, Eoghan Masterson at blindside and Paul Boyle occupying the number 8 jersey.  Connacht face a Cheetahs side that have been hugely impressive in their opening games with three bonus point wins recorded in Bloemfontein. This impressive form is something that Connacht Head Coach Andy Friend says his side will be well prepared for:  “The Cheetahs have been impressive in their opening three games and have three bonus points on the board so we will have to be at our best against them. But we have a had a really good start to the season as well, with two wins from our opening three games so fans can expect an exciting game on Saturday evening”.  Commenting on his team selection he added; “Unfortunately we have to plan without Tiernan O’Halloran and Paddy McAllister until December but I have always said that this block of thirteen games in a row was going to require real depth in our squad. We have picked a match day 23 targeting a home win.”  Connacht Matchday Squad V Toyota Cheetahs (Sat 26 OCT, 5.15PM)  (15-9): Stephen Fitzgerald, Niyi Adeolokun, Kyle Godwin, Peter Robb, John Porch, Conor Fitzgerald, Kieran Marmion (1-8): Denis Buckley, Tom McCartney, Finlay Bealham, Gavin Thornbury, Quinn Roux, Eoghan Masterson, Jarrad Butler (C), Paul Boyle. print WhatsApp Facebook Twitter Email Replacements: Dave Heffernan, Matthew Burke, Dominic Robertson-McCoy,Ultan Dillane, Cillian Gallagher, Caolin Blade, Tom Farrell, DarraghLeader.last_img read more

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Tuyisenge feels indebted to Gor as he prepares to make debut

first_imgThe 25-year-old has recovered and featured in all of Gor’s friendly matches during the two-week international break and is in line to make his debut this weekend when the team travels to Mumias to take on Kakamega Homeboyz.“It means so much for the Gor Mahia management to have been patient with me, having bought me for a lot of money but couldn’t play because of injury. They have been supportive and I feel indebted to them to repay them for the patience they have shown.”“In terms of my recovery there isn’t so much left. I have been able to train well and the only thing I am working on is fitness,” Tuyisenge told Capital Sport.He says he has settled in well at the club and believes he will be an asset to Gor as they work to get their groove back and successfully defend their Premier League title for a fourth year in a row.“I have not have difficulties settling in because I knew Abouba Sibomana and Karim Nzigiyimana before coming so I was comfortable. When I started training everyone treated me well and gave me support,” he added.The availability of Tuyisenge will be a huge boost for head coach Jose Marcelo Ferreira as he takes charge of his first match.-Marcelo upbeat-Gor Mahia head coach Jose Marcelo taking his charges through training.PHOTO/Raymond Makhaya.Gor has scored three goals in five matches and Ferreira is optimistic Tuyisenge’s involvement will increase the tally of goals.“I am quite happy that he is back and in training. He has the experience having played in high levels. I have a lot of faith in him and I know he will add strength to the team,” the tactician added.Tuyisenge in turn promises to deliver, knowing too well the expectations over his shoulders especially with his huge price tag.“I know a lot is expected of me but I trust in my abilities. I know I will score goals and I will strive to do so. It is not easy and I have watched KPL matches and I know it is tough,” Tuyisenge added.Gor will be looking for their first win of the season as they travel to Western Kenya and Ferreira, known to many as Ze Maria remains confident his side has been able to patch up all the grey areas and the team will be back to its menacing self.“The two weeks break has been of help to us because we have worked on our style of play and the team is grasping my philosophy. We have also played some friendly matches which have helped me to have a better look at the team,” the Brazilian stated.Heading into the match, Gor will be fresher than their opponents who played on Wednesday in a 2-1 loss to AFC Leopards in Nairobi.0Shares0000(Visited 1 times, 1 visits today) 0Shares0000Rwandan striker Jacques Tuyisenge in training with champions Gor Mahia at Jericho’s Camp Toyoyo Ground.PHOTO/Timothy Olobulu.NAIROBI, MARCH 31- Gor Mahia forward Jacques Tuyisenge says he is hungry to get his first minutes of action in the SportPesa Premier League and has promised to repay the faith K’Ogalo has shown in him.Tuyisenge, who skippered Rwanda’s team at the recently concluded African Nations Championship (CHAN), has not been able to feature for the three-time back-to-back champions since signing from Rwandese top tier side Police FC on a Sh4 million move due to a knee tendon injury.last_img read more

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Obi Racoon S401, Fox S453 up for grabs via online channels

first_imgObi Mobile’s latest offerings, the Racoon S401 and Fox S453 smartphones are now up for grabs via various online retail stores at a price tag of Rs 4,190 and Rs 5,418 respectively. Both the smartphones were earlier listed on the company’s official website without any details regarding pricing and availability.The Obi Racoon smartphone features a 4-inch WVGA TFT display with a 480×800 pixels resolution. It is powered by a 1GHz dual-core MediaTek (MT6572) processor along with 512MB of RAM. It comes with 4GB of internal storage, expandable up to 32GB via microSD card. The dual-SIM (GSM+GSM) device runs Android 4.4.2 KitKat out-of-the-box. It sports a 5MP rear camera with LED flash as also a 2MP front-facing camera.  Connectivity options include: 3G, GPRS/ EDGE, Wi-Fi 802.11 b/g/n, Micro-USB, and Bluetooth. The smartphone decks in a 1500mAh battery that can deliver up to 6 hours of talk time, and up to 180 hours of standby time, according to the company.Meanwhile, the comparatively pricier Obi Fox S453 smartphone comes with a larger 4.5-inch FWVGA TFT IPS display with a 480×854 pixels resolution. It is powered by the same 1GHz dual-core MediaTek (MT6572) processor and comes with similar 1GB of RAM. It also comes with 4GB of internal storage, also expandable up to 32GB via microSD. The dual-SIM device runs Android 4.4.2 KitKat, and packs in a larger 1600mAh battery. It boasts of a 5MP rear camera with LED flash along with a 2MP front camera. Connectivity options here include: 3G, GPRS/ EDGE, Wi-Fi 802.11 b/g/n, Micro-USB, and Bluetooth.advertisementBoth the Obi Racoon S401 as well as the Fox S453 have been listed in white colour alone.last_img read more

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How Our 2019 Womens World Cup Predictions Work

Before a match, we can determine each team’s rate of scoring based on the number of goals it’s projected to score over the entire match. This rate isn’t constant over the entire match, however, as more goals tend to be scored near the end of a match than near the beginning.2The rate of scoring in the 85th minute is about 1.4 times the rate of scoring in the fifth minute. We account for this increase as the match progresses, which results in added uncertainty and variance toward the end of the match.We also account for added time. On average, a soccer match is 96 minutes long, with two minutes of added time in the first half and four minutes of added time in the second half. The data that powers our forecast doesn’t provide the exact amount of added time, but we can approximate the number of added minutes in the second half by looking at two things:The number of bookings so far in the match. Historically, each second-half booking tends to add about 11 seconds of time to the end of the match.Whether the match is close. There tends to be about 40 extra seconds of added time when the two teams are within a goal of each other in the 90th minute.Our live model also factors in overtime and shootouts, should we see any in the knockout phase of this World Cup. Our live shootout forecasts follow the same methodology described in this 2014 article.Finally, we make three types of adjustments to each team’s scoring rates based on what has happened so far in the match itself.Red cards are important. A one-player advantage is significant in soccer and adjusts scoring rates by about 1.1 goals per match, split between the two teams (one rate goes up; the other down). Put another way, a red card for the opposing team is worth roughly three times home-field advantage.Consider a match in which our SPI-based goal projection is 1.50-1.50 and the home team has a 37 percent chance of winning before the match. If a red card were shown to the away team in the first minute, our projected goals would shift to 2.05-0.95, and the home team’s chance of winning would go up to 62 percent.Good teams tend to score at a higher rate than expected when losing. The most exciting matches to watch live are often ones in which the favored team goes down a goal or two and has to fight its way back. An exploration of the data behind our live model confirmed that any team that’s down by a goal tends to score at a higher rate than its pre-match rate would indicate, but the better the team that’s behind is, the bigger the effect.Take the 2014 Brazil vs. Croatia match. Before the match, Brazil was a substantial favorite, with an 86 percent chance of winning, but it went down 1-0 after Marcelo’s own goal in the 11th minute. Without adjusting for this effect, our model would have given Brazil a 58 percent chance to come back and win the match, but with the adjustment, our model gave the team a 66 percent chance of winning. (Brazil went on to win the match 3-1.)Non-shot expected goals are a good indication that a team is performing above or below expectation. Anyone who has watched soccer knows that a team can come very close to scoring even if it doesn’t get off a shot, perhaps stopped by a last-minute tackle or an offside call. A team that puts its opponent in a lot of dangerous situations may be dominating the game in a way that isn’t reflected by traditional metrics.As a match progresses, each team accumulates non-shot expected goals (xG) as they take actions near the opposing team’s goal. Each non-shot xG above our pre-match expectation is worth a 0.34 goal adjustment to the pre-match scoring rates. For example, if we expect non-shot xG accumulation to be 1.0-0.5 at halftime but it is actually 0.5-1.0, this would be a swing of 1.0 non-shot xG, and a 0.34 goal adjustment would be applied to the original scoring rates. This isn’t a huge adjustment; at halftime, the away team in this example would have about a 5-percentage-point better chance of winning the match than if non-shot xG were proceeding as expected.In the case that there has been a red card in a match, the red card adjustment takes precedence over the non-shot xG adjustment.We took particular care to calibrate the live model appropriately; that is, when our model says a team has a 32 percent chance of winning, it should win approximately 32 percent of the time. Just as important is having the appropriate amount of uncertainty around the tails of the model; when our model says a team has only a 1 in 1,000 chance of coming back to win the match, that should happen every 1,000 matches or so. The 2019 Women’s World Cup is only 52 matches, so it’s unlikely that our model will be perfectly calibrated over such a small sample, but we’re confident that it’s well-calibrated over the long run.The U.S. — as usual — is one of the favorites this year, and we hope you follow along with us as the tournament plays out.Check out our latest Women’s World Cup predictions. Editor’s note: This article is adapted from an article about our 2018 World Cup predictions.The Women’s World Cup is back, and so is another edition of FiveThirtyEight’s Women’s World Cup predictions. For those of you familiar with our World Cup forecast for the men in 2018, or our club soccer predictions, much of our 2019 forecast will look familiar. We show the chance that each team will win, lose or tie every one of its matches, as well as a table that details how likely each team is to finish first, second or third in its group and advance to the knockout stage. Our predictions also incorporate in-game win probabilities that update in real time.Below is a summary of how the forecast works, including a description of FiveThirtyEight’s Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings, how we turn those ratings into a forecast and how we calculate our in-game win probabilities.SPI ratingsAt the heart of our forecast are FiveThirtyEight’s SPI ratings, which are our best estimate of overall team strength. In our system, every team has an offensive rating that represents the number of goals that it would be expected to score against an average team on a neutral field and a defensive rating that represents the number of goals that it would be expected to concede. These ratings, in turn, produce an overall SPI rating, which represents the percentage of points — a win is worth 3 points, a tie worth 1 point and a loss worth 0 points — the team would be expected to take if that match were played over and over again.To generate our SPI ratings, we run through every past match in our database of women’s international matches — back to 1971 — evaluating the performance of both teams with four metrics:The number of goals they scored.The number of goals they scored, adjusted to account for red cards and the time and score of the match when each goal was scored.The number of goals they were expected to score given the shots they took.The number of goals they were expected to score given the nonshooting actions they took near the opposing team’s goal.(These metrics are described in more detail in our post explaining how our club soccer predictions work. In matches for which we don’t have play-by-play data, only the final score is considered.)Given a team’s performance in the metrics above and the defensive SPI rating of the opposing team, it is assigned an offensive rating for the current match. It is also assigned a defensive rating based on its pre-match defensive rating and the attacking performance of the other team.These match ratings are combined with the team’s pre-match ratings to produce new offensive and defensive SPI ratings for the team. The weight assigned to the new match’s ratings is relative to the game’s importance; a World Cup qualifier, for example, would be weighted more heavily than an international friendly.Match forecastsGiven each team’s SPI rating, the process for generating win/loss/draw probabilities for a World Cup match is three-fold:We calculate the number of goals that we expect each team to score during the match. These projected match scores represent the number of goals that each team would need to score to keep its offensive rating exactly the same as it was going into the match.Using our projected match scores and the assumption that goal scoring in soccer follows a Poisson process, which is essentially a way to model random events at a known rate, we generate two Poisson distributions around those scores. Those give us the likelihood that each team will score no goals, one goal, two goals, etc.We take the two Poisson distributions and turn them into a matrix of all possible match scores, from which we can calculate the likelihood of a win, loss or draw for each team. To avoid undercounting draws, we increase the corresponding probabilities in the matrix.1There has been some debate about what kind of distribution best models scoring in soccer. We’ve found that two independent Poisson distributions work well with the addition of diagonal inflation. That is, we generate the two distributions independently but increase the value of each cell in the matrix where the scores are equal by some constant (somewhere around 9 percent, but this differs by league and is based on the degree to which we would have undercounted draws had we not inflated the diagonal). Take, for example, the 2014 men’s World Cup opening match between Brazil and Croatia. Before the match, our model was very confident that Croatia would score no goals or one goal. Brazil’s, distribution, however, was much wider, leading to its being a significant — 86 percent — favorite in the match. Although there is evidence that home-field advantage in soccer is shrinking, teams still get a boost in performance when playing the World Cup on home soil. Similarly, teams from the same confederation as the host nation experience a smaller but still measurable improvement in their performances. In the 2019 Women’s World Cup, we’re applying a home-field advantage for France of about 0.15 goals and a bonus about one-half that size to all teams from the UEFA confederation. These are both a bit smaller than the advantage that historical World Cup results suggest.Tournament forecastOnce we’re able to forecast individual matches, we turn those match-by-match probabilities into a tournament forecast using Monte Carlo simulations. This means that we simulate the tournament thousands of times, and the probability that a team wins the tournament represents the share of simulations in which it wins it. As with our other forecasts, we run our Women’s World Cup simulations hot, which means that each team’s rating changes based on what is happening in a given simulation.Live match forecastsOur live match forecasts calculate each team’s chances of winning, losing or drawing a match in real time. These live win probabilities feed into our tournament forecast to give a real-time view of the World Cup as it plays out.Because we lack enough play-by-play data for women’s international soccer to build a live model from scratch, the parameters described below were initially established while building our live model for the 2018 men’s World Cup. When possible, we’ve verified that these parameters and decisions carry over to the women’s game.Our live model works essentially the same way as our pre-match forecasts. At any point in the match, we can calculate the number of goals we expect each team to score in the remaining time. We generate Poisson distributions based on those projected goals and a matrix of all possible scores for the remainder of the match. When the matrix is combined with the current score of the match, we can use it to calculate live win probabilities.For example, in the 65th minute of that same Brazil vs. Croatia match, with the score tied 1-1, our projected distributions for the remainder of the match had narrowed considerably. A Brazil win was still the most likely outcome, but much less so than at the start of the match. read more

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